“Igor Panarin in his picture looks just like the sort of affectionate bachelor uncle who of course does not himself when babysitting mistreat the favorite little niece or nephew, but then he goes out to the shop for cigars and a wandering stranger, probably a gypsy or a foreigner, comes in through the unlocked door and does the wicked deed.” — Dr Wayness Tamm-Clattuc
by Wayness Tamm-Clattuc
The following is from the Wall Street Journal of December 29th, 2008
and as a precaution I am also printing in full the attributed test, below.
Meanwhile, however, some observations are in order.
From a Sufi viewpoint for instance Professor Igor Panarin is first of all not so very far advanced as all of that in human terms of development, of course. I am referring here to the common task of individuation which is as much Professor Panarin’s real problem in life as an ordinary man as it is that of all mere human beings. At fifty his face still shows a lot of the avid typical immaturity of that age and too much outer activity in life, and his is clearly the sample countenance of but another prideful human being who as yet humiliatingly remains no more than another work in progress, like the most of us. There is little if anything about any of this evasive outward busyness that is meaningfully individual much past the age of forty or so, and so our analytical rule is that people as the inner pressure grows for more awareness will resort to any idiocy or other dodge, to avoid the Self at all costs. So it is that the former KGB man and academic portrayed here is merely rehearsing for his own emotional gratification, and now from a pan-Slavic rather than a bolshevist viewpoint, the same old power attitudes of late modern nationalism. This is his dodge or way of cheating on the suffocated inner life. This sort of gimmick most of all seems exciting especially to middlaged men who gravitate to politics and government employment and the kind of women who keep company with them, and the atmosphere of public involvement and “big doings” is no end terribly era-specific and seems to be “real here and now.”
All of this of course remains irretrievably escapist and it is but another illegitimate form of self indulgent recreation.
Naturally if brought to book on any of this, our Professor Panarin will fuss no end about “ad hominem arguments” and go right up to the Moon like Mr. Cheney and things, and swear and complain that we are “not being realistic.” He won’t be gracious, that much is for sure! As Dr. Jung always said, no one is a bigger fan of sacred individual opinion than the neurotics, and of course they will always tell you “it’s not me, you know…I’m just SAYING!” What they deny brutally of course is that also what they are just saying is a bunch of incantations of black magic and evil mantras.
However, all it is at bottom is another load of stubborn unconciousness that refuses to grow up so to speak.
What is so much the worse for us is that this stuff in this particular form, the refusal of a wholesome individuation by the nation-state personality, is more and more anachronistic now in postmodernity, and it is only the same weary drool we are already familiar to death with from the policy “work” of the American pro-Israel NeoCons. This nationalist competitive preening is of course no less destructive now, out of time, than in its twentieth century democratic forms, in the clashes then between communism, the fascisms and parliamentary democracies. Professor Panarin in his biographical frame is thus only a sort of unwitting carrier, or example, of a certain enduring and hard to remedy personality type. These people will roll around in “reality” like a dog in shit every time, anything to avoid the truth by all means. In the end, that perfectly human power psychology is internationally to be found and no more “loyal” or “patriotic” or at all principled than that.
As the Sufi sage in Idries Shah for example would say, our professor plainly needs “BOTH time and pomegranates.”
The problem is how much time the rest of us can afford to continue to allow these characters to get it out of their systems. They of course quite witlessly are performing an evolutionary task for the sake of us all. But the persistence of any untimely attitude always means that the neurotic energy in it is growing to an explosive state. This is true of individuals and the collective human situation alike. It is not least because the neurotics themselves more than anybody positively need to blow everything up in order to clear the decks so to speak. What is destructively repressed in all power and controlling attitudes is the desperate need just to start out all over again. And no one is more weary of the trap than the psychologically blind successful public man of affairs, these know-it-all think tank sharks swimming and bumping their snouts in blind striving. If they are not brought low out of the cloud-cuckooland of idiot abstraction by some actually beneficial and humanizing personal moral scandal — if they are too high up to “sin” in that way! — well now, it always comes down to an explosion and murder in one form or the other in the end. Mass murder is the policy option usually recommended for preference. And so it comes down around our ears time after time together with all of the rest of this lying to themselves and, still worse, to us…about fairytales disguised as “patriotism”, wars to “end” things and the “clash” of this, that or God alone knows what else.
Anything to escape the terrible sleepless thoughts of self-loathing at three AM!
To this mess add the carefully fattened and pampered grievances of the historical past and then you’ll have something on your shoe for sure, as the Swiss say, and there is plenty of room for crime as we have been seeing for many years now in Palestine-Israel. It is after all no more or less than the central metaphor for government in these wretched projection cases, and so it is nothing but the psychology at work on its deadly mischief of so many dissatisfied postal workers, with guns in their car trunks.
Actually, Igor Panarin to me is probably a kind of true borderline case because he actively is calling for a breaking up of the present setup at least in only thinly disguised terms, in this case of the US. That is the projection you see, but it remains so that at the end of the day persons such as IgorPanarin, Richard Perle and so forth have simply lavishly feverish unappeasable entertainment needs, which seemingly can only be gratified by obsessional extemes of extraverted tinkering around, in this case with foreign policy fantasies and fidgeting around with the levers of state total power. Analyzing one of these cases is mainly grim work, so tedious and banal is the accessible imagination and typical dream products of these big government fellows. Sooner rather than later the analyst naturally comes to long for a bona fide strangler murderer or someone like that to come along in the dreams of the subject, I can tell you this. After all you know that that would be something if only to relieve the Godawful tedium of the power type of personality! This dreadful emptiness accordingly then consists in the projection of personal power and prestige needs onto the state. Next, the state must be abducted so that these individuals may flower freely in the full reek of career and professionalist fulfillment. It is an old story of instinctive mammalisn political behavior rooted in our physical nature. There is also the craving for secret excitement on the part of the inferior personality, and an obnoxious rather obvious longing to be the big bug too. Naturally even the best of constitutions over time will be eroded as these types clot together to more and more throng the bureaucracy of the state and have vendettas against one another. In a former age this advisor type such as Professor Panarin’s or Dr. Kissinger’s would have contended in the byzantine politics of empire and the harems of Asia. The trick in both public and self deception is in keeping one’s own hands clean. Igor Panarin in his picture naturally looks just about like the sort of affectionate bachelor uncle who of course does not himself when babysitting mistreat the favorite little niece or nephew, but then he goes out to the shop for some cigars and a wandering stranger, probably a gypsy or a foreigner, comes in through the unlocked door and does the wicked deed. Then there are the dreadful headlines, the weeping mother on TV and so on…to exactly this extent then, all of this State Department careerism is just so much more hopeless nonsense and it is simply unconscious, and so there is naturally no future in any of it as such. Hence, the loudest and most glowing protagonists are revealed in every case as nothing but a load of secret pessimists.
In closing however, I want to note that as is well known to the depth psychologist in our physical natures is also enbodied an instinctive drive toward greater awareness, and finally to seek to grow beyond ourselves. So it is our faith as jungian analysts that humankind will grow up of course in time, but like the Sufis we can tell you that meanwhile all involved at least will need to have strong stomachs for good long time to come, if only in order to go on swallowing in the meantime what seems like the unending poison and rotten nonsense of the so-called normal “realistic” personalities that veer everywhere, and annoy almost beyond bearing always the growing small number of perceptive people, that saving minority who alone can restore a measure at least of dignity, to all of these crazed spasms of their psychologically smaller brothers and sisters.
[all transcription-rights reserved
[1 January 2009]
From the Wall Street Journal — 29 December 2008:
As If Things Weren’t Bad Enough, Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S.
In Moscow, Igor Panarin’s Forecasts Are All the Rage; America ‘Disintegrates’
By ANDREW OSBORN
MOSCOW — For a decade, Russian academic Igor Panarin has been predicting the U.S. will fall apart in 2010. For most of that time, he admits, few took his argument — that an economic and moral collapse will trigger a civil war and the eventual breakup of the U.S. — very seriously. Now he’s found an eager audience: Russian state media.
In recent weeks, he’s been interviewed as much as twice a day about his predictions. “It’s a record,” says Prof. Panarin. “But I think the attention is going to grow even stronger.”
Prof. Panarin, 50 years old, is not a fringe figure. A former KGB analyst, he is dean of the Russian Foreign Ministry’s academy for future diplomats. He is invited to Kremlin receptions, lectures students, publishes books, and appears in the media as an expert on U.S.-Russia relations.
But it’s his bleak forecast for the U.S. that is music to the ears of the Kremlin, which in recent years has blamed Washington for everything from instability in the Middle East to the global financial crisis. Mr. Panarin’s views also fit neatly with the Kremlin’s narrative that Russia is returning to its rightful place on the world stage after the weakness of the 1990s, when many feared that the country would go economically and politically bankrupt and break into separate territories.
A polite and cheerful man with a buzz cut, Mr. Panarin insists he does not dislike Americans. But he warns that the outlook for them is dire.
“There’s a 55-45% chance right now that disintegration will occur,” he says. “One could rejoice in that process,” he adds, poker-faced. “But if we’re talking reasonably, it’s not the best scenario — for Russia.” Though Russia would become more powerful on the global stage, he says, its economy would suffer because it currently depends heavily on the dollar and on trade with the U.S.
Mr. Panarin posits, in brief, that mass immigration, economic decline, and moral degradation will trigger a civil war next fall and the collapse of the dollar. Around the end of June 2010, or early July, he says, the U.S. will break into six pieces — with Alaska reverting to Russian control.
In addition to increasing coverage in state media, which are tightly controlled by the Kremlin, Mr. Panarin’s ideas are now being widely discussed among local experts. He presented his theory at a recent roundtable discussion at the Foreign Ministry. The country’s top international relations school has hosted him as a keynote speaker. During an appearance on the state TV channel Rossiya, the station cut between his comments and TV footage of lines at soup kitchens and crowds of homeless people in the U.S. The professor has also been featured on the Kremlin’s English-language propaganda channel, Russia Today.
Mr. Panarin’s apocalyptic vision “reflects a very pronounced degree of anti-Americanism in Russia today,” says Vladimir Pozner, a prominent TV journalist in Russia. “It’s much stronger than it was in the Soviet Union.”
Mr. Pozner and other Russian commentators and experts on the U.S. dismiss Mr. Panarin’s predictions. “Crazy ideas are not usually discussed by serious people,” says Sergei Rogov, director of the government-run Institute for U.S. and Canadian Studies, who thinks Mr. Panarin’s theories don’t hold water.
Mr. Panarin’s résumé includes many years in the Soviet KGB, an experience shared by other top Russian officials. His office, in downtown Moscow, shows his national pride, with pennants on the wall bearing the emblem of the FSB, the KGB’s successor agency. It is also full of statuettes of eagles; a double-headed eagle was the symbol of czarist Russia.
The professor says he began his career in the KGB in 1976. In post-Soviet Russia, he got a doctorate in political science, studied U.S. economics, and worked for FAPSI, then the Russian equivalent of the U.S. National Security Agency. He says he did strategy forecasts for then-President Boris Yeltsin, adding that the details are “classified.”
In September 1998, he attended a conference in Linz, Austria, devoted to information warfare, the use of data to get an edge over a rival. It was there, in front of 400 fellow delegates, that he first presented his theory about the collapse of the U.S. in 2010.
“When I pushed the button on my computer and the map of the United States disintegrated, hundreds of people cried out in surprise,” he remembers. He says most in the audience were skeptical. “They didn’t believe me.”
At the end of the presentation, he says many delegates asked him to autograph copies of the map showing a dismembered U.S.
He based the forecast on classified data supplied to him by FAPSI analysts, he says. He predicts that economic, financial and demographic trends will provoke a political and social crisis in the U.S. When the going gets tough, he says, wealthier states will withhold funds from the federal government and effectively secede from the union. Social unrest up to and including a civil war will follow. The U.S. will then split along ethnic lines, and foreign powers will move in.
California will form the nucleus of what he calls “The Californian Republic,” and will be part of China or under Chinese influence. Texas will be the heart of “The Texas Republic,” a cluster of states that will go to Mexico or fall under Mexican influence. Washington, D.C., and New York will be part of an “Atlantic America” that may join the European Union. Canada will grab a group of Northern states Prof. Panarin calls “The Central North American Republic.” Hawaii, he suggests, will be a protectorate of Japan or China, and Alaska will be subsumed into Russia.
“It would be reasonable for Russia to lay claim to Alaska; it was part of the Russian Empire for a long time.” A framed satellite image of the Bering Strait that separates Alaska from Russia like a thread hangs from his office wall. “It’s not there for no reason,” he says with a sly grin.
Interest in his forecast revived this fall when he published an article in Izvestia, one of Russia’s biggest national dailies. In it, he reiterated his theory, called U.S. foreign debt “a pyramid scheme,” and predicted China and Russia would usurp Washington’s role as a global financial regulator.
Americans hope President-elect Barack Obama “can work miracles,” he wrote. “But when spring comes, it will be clear that there are no miracles.”
The article prompted a question about the White House’s reaction to Prof. Panarin’s forecast at a December news conference. “I’ll have to decline to comment,” spokeswoman Dana Perino said amid much laughter.
For Prof. Panarin, Ms. Perino’s response was significant. “The way the answer was phrased was an indication that my views are being listened to very carefully,” he says.
The professor says he’s convinced that people are taking his theory more seriously. People like him have forecast similar cataclysms before, he says, and been right. He cites French political scientist Emmanuel Todd. Mr. Todd is famous for having rightly forecast the demise of the Soviet Union — 15 years beforehand. “When he forecast the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1976, people laughed at him,” says Prof. Panarin.
[Wall Street Journal copyright 2008]