On The Certainty in History of Comeuppance
by Bodwyn Wook
‘This is because as Time passes, the possibility of a complete displacement of your preferred weapon, and still more of any career-driven (NB) “system”, CAN only grow.’ [Bodwyn Wook]
The irony is in that way History does have, The Attack that knocks the Atlantic West flat on its ass is going to come out of the Blue & the odds are probably about even, now, that it will be to the NSA & all of this ‘digitalysis’ what the Hun Panzers were to the Polish Army in 1939.
The growing military application of computers has now been with us since just before WW II; initially, IT was about logistics & now is in its own right deemed to be THE battlefield.
This, historically, is another instance of inflation, in this as in all cases with ever-mounting cost, and as always both in the minds of operators & publics, of the ‘significance’ of a particular means for projecting state power now reaching across three generations, or now for about seventy-five years:
A rather exact analogy, therefore, might be the steam-driven ironclads & later Dreadnought all-big-gun battleships that were the apotheosis of state power from approximately the 1840s & that came suddenly (!) to their decisive dead-end in History on 7 & 10 December 1941.
Three generations or the better part of a century in any case is a long time in History, especially in the elaboration of a mode of warfare; it is a time-span that represents the whole period of the Victorian (comparative) peace after Waterloo.
In other words, there is ample time to arrive at wholly-wrong strategic conclusions & to become unduly smug.
This is because as Time passes, the possibility of a complete displacement of your preferred weapon, and still more of any career-driven (NB) ‘system’, CAN only grow.
The consequence, now, is that to concentrate still more-and-more on this particular high-technological form of defense and, indeed, offense is to risk more-and-more leaving everyone snug in a kind of bit-rate Maginot Line stocked full of voyeurs like panoptic carp & they one-and-all in more-and-more of a coma of more-and-more solipsism; the danger over Time is even worse if one launches an attack from such a base, for then ‘there you go again’, in a famous phrase of President Reagen’s, out in the Blue & more-and-more dead-liable by the nano(ninny?)second to being completely cut off from either target-domination or target-destruction.
This is the postmodern obliteration of late-modern strategy, a singular achievement of the microworld in a kind of warfare become, perhaps, microcephalous; and, one done by the reduction of all operations & operational capacity to a Tactic of the Binary.
Since whatever else may be said of analogies & cycles in History, none of these exactly are alike, one may henceforward only gaze on the novel scene of our unprecedentedly digital to-day & wonder & all with pent breath:
WILL it work?
THE great danger, then, in all ‘data mining’ is to undermine all unwittingly all of the other bases of that Total Strategy that alone guarantees the success of states in History.
[all rights reserved
[3 November 2013]